I am not a seer or a wizard. I do not claim to possess any
psychic powers but based on what I see around myself, I am in a position just
as suitable to make predictions of the future. It doesn’t take supernatural
powers to see what is yet to be. I read about the past and then draw inferences
based on how the trends of the modern day will play out to affect the future of
mankind. I believe that my predictions will be generally accurate of the years
to come. I guess we’ll have to see.
Contrary to what many people envision when they imagine what
the future will bring, I do not foresee any great, transformative changes occurring
within the next few decades. The second law of thermodynamics states that when
no new energy is introduced into a closed system, that system will naturally
tend towards disorder and entropy. This is what I am seeing now in the current
state of political affairs. In nations all over the globe, there is a severe
lack of change in the political philosophies of their leaders. In the United
States, the distinction between Republican and Democrat has gradually faded
into non-existence. The countries of Europe have kept the same basic leadership
since the Second World War (with a few exceptions). The eradication of
Communism was the last notable landmark of political change in the last thirty
years. Without the element of revolutionary political change, then according to
the second law of thermodynamics, the state of Western civilization is going to
continue its state of gradual decline. The energy that is lacked in politics
are revolutionary leaders who can induce substantial change instead of the
puppet-politicians who all represent either side of the same coin. The entropy
that is the consequence of this is in the form of economic decline,
technological decline, military decline and the erosion of freedom.
In the right lighting, they probably even look the same
Another factor that will bring about the entropy of mankind
is the lack of war. War is painted as evil and destructive and immoral (which you
could make a pretty cogent argument for). However, war is necessary to invoke
large-scale social change and evolutionary progress. Most significant
historical changes have been a result of armed conflict. The Roman Empire didn’t
attain the power it had simply by asking nicely for its territories. The
British Empire didn’t become the largest empire in the world by winning the
lottery. The enormous impact that these empires had on civilization was brought
about by their military dominance. Because there have not been any large-scale
wars (the likes of WWII) in the past seventy years, stagnation and political
decline are the result. War is necessary for the natural evolution of mankind. It
helps to control unmanageable population growth and the mass mobilization of
war has produced numerous technological and scientific discoveries.
Because of nuclear weapons, the fear of war has prevented any
such catalysts for armed conflict. The destruction caused by modern nuclear
arms has the potential to wipe out the human race more than once. This
justification has resulted in the avoidance of large-scale wars since 1945. This
trend will continue until such a conflict becomes unavoidable.
If there is to be a large, transformative war in the next
fifty years, I believe it will be the result of two possible scenarios:
1. The
tensions against Israel will mount and one or more Arab countries will declare
war on them. If Israel can still count on the support of the United States and
other western states to assist them, then the war will be fought mainly by the
US against probably Iran or Pakistan.
2. Pakistan
will Invade India. China and the US will be drawn into the conflict and
eventually end up in a total war.
Either way, the use of nuclear arms is inevitable within the
next two hundred years or so. The lack of energy created by the lack of war will result in
the stagnation of the human race. We as
a species can only exist in a state of entropy for so long before a catalyst
will produce a large-scale social and political change like a war. Humans
naturally are a species prone to conflicts. To enforce a state of peace is at
the expense of the natural evolution of mankind. The future will bring about
entropy until a grandiose social or political change that will likely come in
the form of a war. My prediction of the future may appear dark, but it is only
a reflection of the past and on the harsh nature of reality.
Do you have a better prediction of the future? Do you agree/disagree
with me? Post it as a comment below. All opinions are welcome. (Unless you are
a Visigoth, in which case, fuck off!)
